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Monday, November 30, 2015

Stoke City - Let Them All Talk



Considering that they were playing in English football’s third tier just 13 years ago, Stoke City have come a long way. They are now an established Premier League club, enjoying their 8th consecutive year in the top flight since gaining promotion in 2008.

Not only that, but they reached their first ever FA Cup Final in 2011, where they were only defeated by Manchester City, but still qualified for Europe, as the victors took up their place in the Champions League. In 2014/15 Mark Hughes’ team repeated the previous season's feat of finishing 9th, Stoke's highest position in the Premier League era and their best finish since 1974/75.

Furthermore, Stoke have achieved this level of success even though they have modified their playing style from the rather rudimentary tactics employed under Tony Pulis to the more free-flowing approach of Hughes’ team.

This is a testament to how well run Stoke are, consistently punching above their weight, though less generous observers might argue that this is what you get for £100 million, as this is the amount of money that chairman Peter Coates has put into his local club, making good use of the wealth accumulated from his family’s gambling company, bet365.

That said, Stoke’s strategy has been a bit more subtle than Coates simply pumping in money, as the club has combined a healthy degree of financial prudence, as well as obviously benefiting from its benefactor’s generosity.

"Handling the big jets"

In fact, Stoke’s rise can be split into three distinct phases: substantial owner financing; a move towards sustainability; a return to spending, thanks to growing TV money.

First, the owner did indeed put his hand deep into his pocket to help Stoke’s push for promotion and then fund a fairly big outlay on building a decent squad, which was essential if Stoke were to achieve their main objective of securing their presence in the Premier League.

As Coates explained in 2011, “The huge investment in the playing squad over the last four years has been in my view necessary to enable Tony Pulis to assemble a group of players capable of competing at this level.”

After financing this period of consolidation, Stoke have sought self-sufficiency with a slowdown in transfer spend allowing the wage bill to grow. This process has been facilitated by a combination of the increasing Premier League television deals and the introduction of Financial Fair Play regulations, which have dampened down inflationary cost pressures, meaning the drive towards break-even has been made somewhat easier.

"With a shout"

The influx of new TV money has then allowed Stoke to attract some big names to the Potteries, including Swiss international Xherdan Shaqiri, who was purchased from Inter for a club record £12 million. Hughes noted, “It might be a big amount of money for Stoke, but I believe it will prove to be good value. The only way you can progress is to add to the quality in your squad.”

Former German international Stefan Effenberg expressed his surprise at this transfer, “I do not understand Shaqiri’s move to Stoke at all. You have been badly advised if you go there.”

Really? Welcome to the new soul vision, Stefan.

Shaqiri’s signing was further evidence of the growing economic power of the Premier League’s mid-tier clubs, built on all that lovely TV money. Indeed, his arrival at the Britannia was hot on the heels of Stoke recruiting the likes of Bojan Krkic, Ibrahim Afellay, Marko Arnautovic, Marc Muniesa and Joselu.

As Coates explained, “We are attracting great players to the club now, because we are progressing on and off the pitch and they are excited by the challenge here.”


That progress was underlined by the 2014/15 financial results with profits rising £1.9 million from £3.8 million to £5.7 million and net debt being reduced by £4.6 million to £33.2 million.

Revenue rose £1.3 million (1%) to £99.6 million, very nearly breaking the £100 million barrier for the first time, almost entirely due to an increase in TV money. Profit from player sales was only £1.7 million, but this represented a £2.9 million improvement, as Stoke lost £1.2 million from this activity the previous year.

There was a significant reduction in transfer costs, as player amortisation fell £3.9 million (24%) to £12.4 million and there was no repeat of the 2013/14 £1.7 million impairment charge (reducing the value of player assets).

On the other hand, the wage bill climbed £6 million (10%) from £61 million to £67 million, while other expenses were £2 million (14%) higher, mainly due to £2.6 million of loan fees for Victor Moses (from Chelsea) and Oussama Assaidi (from Liverpool).


Of course, most Premier League football clubs make money these days, largely on the back of the TV deals, and Stoke were just one of 15 clubs that were profitable in 2013/14 (the last season when all clubs have published their accounts).

As Coates said, “To have the richest league in the world and these losses, that’s got to be pretty stupid by any yardstick. So it’s good it’s turned round, so it should and so it should remain.”

That said, Stoke’s profit of £4 million was only the 13th highest in the prior season, way behind Tottenham Hotspur £80 million, Manchester United £41 million, Southampton £29 million and Everton £28 million.

However, two points should be noted: (a) Stoke are to date one of only three clubs to have reported higher profits in 2014/15, while four clubs have registered worse results with United and Everton moving into losses; (b) the major impact that once-off player sales can have on a football club’s bottom line.


To reinforce this last point, in 2014/15 Southampton made £44 million from player sales, mainly due to the transfers of Adam Lallana and Dejan Lovren to Liverpool plus Calum Chambers to Arsenal, while the previous season saw Tottenham Hotspur make an amazing £104 million (largely from the mega sale of Gareth Bale to Real Madrid) and Chelsea £65 million (David Luiz to Paris Saint-Germain).

In stark contrast, Stoke were the second worst in the Premier League at making money from this activity in 2013/14, only ahead of Cardiff City, actually losing £1.2 million on player sales. This did improve in 2014/15, but they still made just £1.7 million from selling Cameron Jerome to Norwich City, Michael Kightly to Burnley and Ryan Shotton to Derby County.


Stoke have only recently moved to profitability with £10 million being made in the last two seasons, which Coates described as “a big turnaround”. The 2013/14 profit was the first time that the club had made a profit since 2008/09, when they registered a small surplus of £0.5 million in their first season back in the top flight.

In fact, in the eight seasons leading up to 2013/14 the club had made cumulative losses of £64 million. In fairness, nearly half of that (£31 million) came in 2012/13 as Stoke invested heavily to ensure that they remained in the Premier League in order to benefit from the new TV deal.


Many clubs have effectively been subsidising their underlying business with profitable player sales, but this has not been the case at Stoke. In the last 10 years, the club has only made £13 million from player disposals, which could either be considered as a sign that the club has tried to keep its squad together or that it has had no players that other clubs wish to buy.

Either way, this lack of profitable player sales has obviously had a big adverse effect on their financial results, though this will change in the 2015/16 figures with the sales of Asmir Begovic to Chelsea, Steven N’Zonzi to Sevilla and Robert Huth to Leicester City. The accounts state that the club has received (initial) sales proceeds of £14.9 million for players sold since the balance sheet with net book value of £1.5 million, which would imply profits of £13.4 million.

It is worth exploring how football clubs account for transfers, as it can have such a major impact on reported profits. The fundamental point is that when a club purchases a player the costs are spread over a few years, but any profit made from selling players is immediately booked to the accounts.


So, when a club buys a player, it does not show the full transfer fee in the accounts in that year, but writes-down the cost (evenly) over the length of the player’s contract. Therefore, if Stoke spent £15 million on a new player with a 5-year contract, the annual expense would be only £3 million (£15 million divided by 5 years) in player amortisation (on top of wages).

However, when that player is sold, the club reports straight away the profit on player sales, which essentially equals sales proceeds less any remaining value in the accounts. In our example, if the player were to be sold 3 years later for £18 million, the cash profit would be £3 million (£18 million less £15 million), but the accounting profit would be much higher at £12 million, as the club would have already booked £9 million of amortisation (3 years at £3 million).

This is all horribly technical, but it does help explain how some clubs can spend big in the transfer market with relatively little immediate impact on their reported profits.


Notwithstanding the accounting treatment, basically the more that a club spends, the higher its player amortisation. Thus, Stoke’s player amortisation surged from just £1 million in 2007 to a £22 million peak in 2013, reflecting the years of big spending in the transfer market, but has fallen back in the last two years to £12 million as the taps have been turned off.

However, Stoke’s financial results have also been influenced by the £13 million of impairment charges they have booked since 2009. This happens when the directors assess a player’s achievable sales price as less than the value in the accounts.


In our example, if the player’s value were assessed as £4 million after 3 years instead of the £6 million in the accounts, then they would book an impairment charge of £2 million. Impairment could thus be considered as accelerated player amortisation. It also has the effect of reducing the annual player amortisation going forward.

In any case, Stoke’s player amortisation is one of the lowest in the Premier League and is obviously miles behind the really big spenders like Manchester United (£100 million), Chelsea (£72 million) and Manchester City (£70 million). However, it should increase from next year, reflecting Stoke’s return to spending in the transfer market.


The scant purchases beforehand, allied with the impairment policy, mean that player values on the balance sheet have declined from £33 million in 2012 to just £14 million in 2015, though the accounting treatment understates the value of Stoke’s squad, as it does not fully reflect the market value of its players.


Given all the accounting complexities arising from player trading, clubs often looks at EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxation, Depreciation and Amortisation) for a better understanding of how profitable they are from their core business. The good news is that Stoke’s EBITDA shot up to £23 million in 2014, though it did fall back to £17 million last season.

Once again, this highlights the impact of the new TV deal in 2014, as the combined £40 million of EBITDA in the last two seasons is nearly twice as much as the club delivered in the previous seven seasons.


This is pretty good, but at the same time helps to outline the challenge for clubs like Stoke, as the EBITDA at the leading clubs is significantly higher, despite their larger wage bills: Manchester United £120 million, Manchester City £83 million, Arsenal £64 million, Liverpool £53 million and Chelsea £51 million.


Stoke’s revenue has grown by £32 million (47%) from £68 million in 2011 to just under £100 million in 2015, though virtually all of that increase is attributable to the TV deals, as broadcasting is up £32 million (70%) to £77.4 million. In the same period, commercial income has risen by only £1 million (8%) from £13.6 million to £14.6 million, while gate receipts have actually fallen £0.9 million (11%) from £8.5 million to £7.6 million.

To be fair, 2011 was boosted by successful domestic cup runs, which helped gate receipts and merchandising sales, while the following year was inflated by £4.5 million generated from the Europa League run.


Stoke’s achievement in finishing 9th in the Premier League is really put into perspective when you compare their revenue to other clubs: in 2013/14 their revenue of £98 million was the 14th highest in the top tier.

Things are unlikely to be any better in 2014/15, as Stoke’s tiny revenue growth of £1.3 million is one of the smallest reported to date: Arsenal £31 million, Southampton £8 million, West Ham £6 million, Manchester City £5 million and Everton £5 million.

Furthermore, Stoke’s revenue of £100 million is still a lot lower than the Champions League elite, e.g. the top four clubs all earn well above £300 million: Manchester United £395 million, Manchester City £352 million, Arsenal £329 million and Chelsea £320 million.


On the bright side, Stoke now have the 30th highest revenue in the world, according to the Deloitte Money League. This allows Stoke to pay higher wages than famous clubs such as Ajax and Lazio. In short, money talks, tradition walks.

When Shaqiri signed, he said, “It was always my dream to come to the Premier League, because I love this league and I love this country.” Fair enough, but the size of his pay cheque might just have swayed his decision.

The problem is that these additional riches do not help Stoke much domestically, as there are no fewer than 14 Premier League clubs in the world’s top 30 clubs by revenue (and all of them are in the top 40). As Coates pointed out, “You can argue which league in Europe is the best, but ours is the most competitive.”


Clearly, TV money is the main driver behind Stoke’s new standing, contributing an incredible 77% of the club’s total revenue. Commercial income accounts for 15%, while gate receipts are worth only 8%.

This might sound very worrying, but this is fairly common in the Premier League. For example, in 2013/14 four clubs actually had a greater reliance on TV money than Stoke, getting more than 80% of their revenue from broadcasting, namely Crystal Palace, Swansea City, Hull City and WBA.


In 2014/15 Stoke’s share of the Premier League TV money rose 3% from £76 million to £78 million. The distribution of these funds  is based on a fairly equitable methodology with the top club (Chelsea) receiving £99 million, while the bottom club (QPR) got £65 million.

Most of the money is allocated equally to each club, which means 50% of the domestic rights (£22.0 million in 2014/15), 100% of the overseas rights (£27.8 million) and 100% of the commercial revenue (£4.4 million). However, merit payments (25% of domestic rights) are worth £1.2 million per place in the league table and facility fees (25% of domestic rights) depend on how many times each club is broadcast live.


In this way, Stoke are disadvantaged by being shown live just nine times, which was only more than two relegated clubs (Hull City and Burnley) and Leicester City, but less than many clubs that finished below them in the league.

As an example, Newcastle finished in 15th place, but were broadcast live 20 times, which “earned” them £16.2 million of facility fees, i.e. £7.4 million more than Stoke’s £8.8 million (the minimum guaranteed to any club, regardless of whether they are on TV fewer than 10 times). As Coates put it, “We suffer from being what I would call an unfashionable club.”

The blockbuster new TV deal starting in 2016/17 only reinforces the need to stay in the Premier League. My estimates suggest that Stoke would receive an additional £35 million under the new contract, increasing the total received to an incredible £113 million.

This is based on the contracted 70% increase in the domestic deal and an assumed 30% increase in the overseas deals (though this looks to be on the conservative side, given some of the deals announced to date). Of course, if they were to finish higher in the league table, they would earn even more.


Stoke might also reasonably target European qualification, which could bring in additional revenue. That might feel a touch unrealistic, but they did qualify for the Europa League in 2011/12, when they were the only British club to make it out of the group stage before being eliminated by Valencia.

This adventure only produced €3.5 million in prize money, though Everton did earn €7.5 million last season for reaching the last 16. The big money is obviously in the Champions League with English clubs averaging €39 million in 2014/15 and is getting higher, as the new TV deal from the 2015/16 season is worth an additional 40-50%, thanks to BT Sports paying more than Sky/ITV for live games.


Gate receipts dropped slightly from £7.7 million to £7.6 million, thus remaining one of the lowest in the Premier League, despite average attendance rising from 26,134 to 27,081. At the other end of the spectrum, Arsenal and Manchester United both earn around £100 million of match day revenue, which works out to around £3.7 million a match. In other words, they generate almost as much as Stoke’s annual gate receipts in just two matches.

The low revenue is actually a reflection of Stoke’s laudable approach to ticket prices, which in 2015/16 were frozen for the eighth year in succession. According to the BBC Price of Football survey, Stoke have the cheapest season ticket in the Premier League at just £294.

Not only that, but they also have 10,000 season tickets priced between £344 and £359, which means that no other club offers as many seats in that price range. Furthermore, fans aged under 11 are charged just £38 in the family area when purchased with an adult season ticket.


Stoke’s policy was outlined in the 2012 accounts: “The tremendous atmosphere at the Britannia Stadium was once again an influential factor in our home record remaining so good. This underlines the importance of our strategy to fill the ground to capacity as often as possible.”

This praiseworthy attitude looks set to continue, as Coates explained when describing the new TV deal as “an opportunity to make sure some supporters benefit from then kind of money we’re getting from the media.”


Stoke have secured planning permission to expand the 27,700 capacity of the Britannia Stadium to around 30,000 by building in the scoreboard corner, but they will only commit to this work when they are sure that they could regularly sell the 2,500 extra tickets.

Given the increase in attendance in 2014/15 (after two years of decreases), followed by a rise in season ticket sales for 2015/16, maybe this is the time to invest. Last season, Stoke’s attendance was one of the lowest in the top flight, held back by the limited capacity of the Britannia. It was only ahead of six clubs, including the three that were relegated (Hull City, Burnley and QPR).

Commercial income rose 2% (£0.2 million) to £14.6 million, largely due to growth in conferencing and hospitality (£0.3 million to £3.7 million) and retail and merchandising (£0.2 million to £2.3 million), though there were falls in sponsorship and advertising (£0.2 million to £7.5 million) and other operating income (£0.1 million to £1.2 million).


Again, Stoke’s commercial income is dwarfed by the leading clubs, e.g. the two Manchester clubs grew their commercial revenue again in 2014/15: United to £196 million and City to £173 million.

That said, Stoke’s £15 million is on a par with clubs like Sunderland and Norwich, while being ahead of the likes of West Brom, Southampton, Swansea City and Crystal Palace. Nevertheless, the onus is on the club to “maximise the commercial opportunities that our Premier League status presents locally, nationally and internationally, due to the global profile of the best league in the world.”

Since 2012 Stoke’s shirt sponsorship has been with bet365, reportedly worth £3 million a season (though listed at only £2 million in the accounts), “further underlining the owner’s long-term commitment to the club”. This replaced the agreement with Britannia, which had been on the shirts for 15 years, making it one of the longest sponsorship agreements in English football.


Of course, this deal is a long way behind the “big boys”: Manchester United – Chevrolet £47 million, Chelsea – Yokohama £40 million, Arsenal – Emirates £30 million, Liverpool – Standard Chartered £25 million and Manchester City – Etihad Airways £20 million. Of more concern, it has also been overtaken by Crystal Palace (£5 million), Sunderland (£5 million) and Swansea City (£4 million).

From the 2015/16 season Stoke’s kit deal is with New Balance, the US manufacturer most closely associated with Liverpool, but who also provide kits for Porto and Sevilla.

As a sign of growing commercial activity, Stoke announced two naming rights deals in July with parcel delivery firm DPD and Novus Property Solutions both sponsoring stands in the stadium.


Wages rose 10% (£6 million) from £61 million to £67 million, leading to the wages to turnover ratio worsening from 62% to 67%. Since 2013, revenue has surged by £33 million (50%) , but Coates has been determined that the higher TV money would not simply pass through to the players (as with previous deals), so the wage bill has only grown by £6 million (10%).

The amount paid to the highest paid director, believed to be chief executive Tony Scholes, rose from £773,000 to £801,000 (including pension contributions).


Although Stoke’s wages to turnover ratio has improved from the 91% peak in 2013, last season’s 67% is likely to be one of the highest in the Premier League in 2015, as only two clubs reported worse ratios in 2014 (WBA and Fulham).

That said, this highlights Stoke’s tricky balancing act, as their £67 million wage bill is one of the lowest in the top flight. In 2013/14 it was only the 16th highest, which shows how much they outperformed by finishing 9th, given that there is normally a very close correlation between wages and success on the pitch.


To place this into context, it is only around a third of the elite clubs, who all pay around £200 million: Manchester United £203 million, Manchester City £194 million, Chelsea £193 million and Arsenal £192 million.

Nevertheless there is a clear bunching of clubs in the £60-70 million range, as the traditional bigger spenders like Newcastle United, West Ham and Aston Villa have only grown a little, while the nouveaux riches like WBA, Swansea City, Southampton and indeed Stoke have all had to significantly increase their wage bill in order to compete.


As Stoke’s 2011 accounts said, “there was a substantial increase in player wage costs, which had been planned for, to enable us to consolidate our position in the Premier League.” The theme was repeated the following year: “The further strengthening of the squad led to a planned, but nevertheless sizeable increase in player wage costs.”

Clearly wages have not been growing at such a dramatic rate in the past couple of years, as can be seen in 2014/15, as Stoke’s £6 million increase has been outpaced by other mid-tier clubs, e.g. Southampton £9 million, West Ham £9 million and Everton £8 million. However, the expectation would be that the next set of accounts in 2015/16 should feature a reasonable rise after the addition of the recent signings.


Stoke’s three-stage strategy since their return to the Premier League is evidenced by their transfer spend. In the initial five years between 2008/09 and 2012/13 they had a net spend of £88 million, as they built a competitive squad, splashing out on the likes of Peter Crouch, Kenwyne Jones, Wilson Palacios and Cameron Jerome.

However, they then slammed on the brakes in the following two seasons, making a number of free transfer signings (Phil Bardsley, Steve Sidwell, Mame Biram Diouf, Stephen Ireland and Marc Muniesa), resulting in net transfer spend of just £5 million.

Although the net spend was only £3 million in 2015, this masks gross spend of £21 million (Shaqiri, Joselu, Philipp Wollscheid and Jakob Haugaard), as this was largely offset by the sales of Begovic, N’Zonzi and Huth.


Nevertheless, Stoke’s net spend of £8 million over the last three seasons is the second smallest in the Premier League, only “beaten” by Tottenham, who have net sales thanks to the Bale deal. Obviously, nobody would expect Stoke to spend at the same level as clubs like Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal and Chelsea, but it must be galling for Stoke fans to be outspent by the likes of Crystal Palace £67 million, WBA £48 million and Leicester City £40 million – though it should be recognised that promoted clubs have to spend big when they come to the Premier League.

Either way, Mark Hughes pushed for a loosening of the purse strings this summer: “It's fair to say we have done OK, we're probably the lowest spenders in the Premier League. It's not a huge amount, we've done some good deals and good business. That can't be a strategy moving forward, we will have to invest in the team. That costs money and the Coates family know that as well. If we get to a point where a cheque has to be signed the owners are prepared to do that.”


Although net debt was reduced by £5 million from £38 million to £33 million, this was largely due to cash balances rising £7 million from £19 million to £26 million, as gross debt was actually up £2 million from £57 million to £59 million.

The good news is that this is all owned to Stoke City Holdings Ltd, the company that owns the Britannia Stadium and the Clayton Wood training ground, which is ultimately owned by bet365 (under the control of the Coates family). In other words, Stoke City have no external debt with banks, but the friendliest of “in house” debt to their owners in the form of interest-free loans with no fixed repayment term.


Stoke’s £59 million gross debt is by no means the highest in the Premier League. In fact, there are actually five clubs with debt above £100 million, namely Manchester United £411 million, Arsenal £234 million, Newcastle United £129 million, Liverpool £127 million and Aston Villa £104 million.


The fact that Stoke pay no interest on their loans is a major advantage compared to some of their rivals, e.g. West Ham pay £6 million a year, Southampton £3 million and Sunderland £2 million, but is not uncommon with benefactor owners.

It is worth noting that Stoke also had £4 million of contingent liabilities (dependent on the success of the football club or players making a certain number of club or international appearances). On top of that, there is a further £26 million of transfer fees payable for players purchased after the accounts closed.


Stoke’s improved finances are also reflected in the cash flow statement. Taking 2014/15 as an example, the club generated £9 million from operating activities, before spending £4 million on player registrations and infrastructure. They did require a further £2 million loan from the parent company, but this was a significant reduction on previous years (£15 million in 2014, £18 million in 2013).

Over the years, bet365’s ongoing investment and support has been crucial to the club’s development. Although cash flow from operating activities has been positive, the money required to fund investment in players has only been covered by “the family making huge cash injections every year.” In fact, since bet365 took control in May 2006, the owners have put in around £100 million (£97 million of loans and £2 million of share capital).

Not only have they provided this funding, but they have also written-off £32 million by converting some of the loans to equity and disposing of an investment in a subsidiary in 2010. In fairness, they can probably afford it, as the Sunday Times Rich List revealed that they had become the UK’s first betting billionaires.


It is instructive to review how the club has operated since 2008. In that period, Stoke had available cash of £157 million, which came from two sources: (a) £67 million from operating activities (after paying the ongoing expenses); and (b) £90 million from owners’ loans. Almost 80% of this (£124 million) has gone on player investment, while  cash balances increased by £25 million.

All external loans have been repaid (£3 million), while there has only been £4 million of capital expenditure, though this is a little misleading, as most of the club’s infrastructure investment is made via Stoke City (Property) Limited, e.g. £3 million was invested into the Clayton Wood training ground by this company in 2010.


In line with the trend at other clubs, Stoke’s cash increased last year from £20 million to £26 million, though this is still a long way behind the leaders, e.g. Arsenal £228 million, Manchester United £156 million and Manchester City £75 million.

Although Stoke have moved towards self-sufficiency, as we have seen, much of their success has been due to the backing of the Coates family, which is likely to still be required in the future (albeit to a lesser extent), especially if the club wishes to reach the proverbial next level.

"Mr Bojangles"

Unlike some owners, Peter Coates has never looked for a return on his investment: “Me and my family, we don’t look at Stoke as a business. For us it’s something important for the area and something we want to do.” Indeed, the family connection was strengthened in the summer when his son John became vice-chairman.

Their commitment has been reinforced by the £9 million investment in the Academy and training facilities, though Stoke have to date struggled to develop players for the first team, as Coates admitted: “We are desperate to bring young players through. I would like to see half-a-dozen players on the bench who are Academy products. But we are not there yet.”

"Irish heartbeat"

However you look at it, Stoke have made steady progress. In contrast to the rollercoaster ride experienced at similar clubs, they have operated a sensible business model with a mixture of investment and (realistic) ambition to become a fixture in the top half of the Premier League.

It will be difficult for them to go much higher, given the vast wealth of the leading clubs, but it won’t be for the lack of trying. As Hughes said, “I think it’s exciting times for Stoke City, everyone can see there’s more progress to be made and we want to see how far we can take the club.”
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Monday, November 23, 2015

Everton - Behind Blue Eyes



The 2014/15 season was not one of the best for Everton, as they slumped to 11th in the Premier League. Not just my assessment, but also that of the club’s hierarchy, as chairman Bill Kenwright drily observed that “last season was not the one Evertonians had hoped for.” Even the normally irrepressible manager Roberto Martinez noted, “2014/15 was a very tough and demanding season at times.”

This was particularly disappointing, as the previous season (Martinez’ first in charge) had seen Everton achieve a club record points haul in the Premier League era, finishing 5th and thus qualifying for the Europa League.

Despite a glut of injuries, Everton have returned to form this season and currently sit 7th in the league, while there is a decent chance of silverware in the Capital One Cup, where they have progressed to the quarter-finals.

"Spanish Steps"

In contrast to the travails on the pitch, chief executive Robert Elstone claimed, “We made great strides off the pitch in 2014/15”, though in truth Everton’s financial figures were a bit of a mixed bag. Yes, the club achieved record turnover of £126 million, but they also made a loss of £4 million, while net debt rose to £31 million.

In fact, the bottom line was £32 million worse than the previous year, as Everton moved from a £28 million profit to a £4 million loss. This was largely due to profit from player sales falling by £25 million to just £3 million, as the 2013/14 figures included the sale of Marouane Fellaini to Manchester United.


Revenue rose £5 million (4%), despite broadcasting income falling £3 million (4%) to £82 million, as a result of increases in both commercial income, up £7 million (37%) to £26 million, and gate receipts, £1 million (8%) higher at £18 million. On the other hand, there were substantial increases in the cost base: wages climbed £8 million (12%) to £78 million; other operating costs rose £4 million (16%) to £30 million; and player amortisation was up £1 million (5%) to £20 million.

This was slightly offset by net interest payable, principally from the servicing of securitised debt and bank overdraft, decreasing by £1.3 million (26%) to £3.8 million, due to a reduction in interest rates.

It should be noted that Everton have changed the way that they have classified revenue this year, including a restatement of the 2014 results. This has no net impact, but means that the figures reported for gate receipts and broadcasting income have reduced, while commercial income has increased (by £6.3 million in 2014). The club stated that this now represents a “more accurate presentation of turnover”, though maybe the board just got fed up with all the criticism received about the relatively low level of commercial income.


In fairness to Everton, it is no great surprise that profits have fallen, as this is the second year of the current three-year Premier League deal, so there are limited opportunities for significant revenue growth, while wage bills continue to grow. This can be seen by the fact that four of the seven Premier League clubs that have reported 2014/15 figures to date have announced lower profits.

That said, Everton are one of only two clubs that have actually lost money, the other one being Manchester United, whose £4 million loss is almost entirely due to their failure to qualify for Europe in 2014/15. Given the amount of TV money on offer, the expectation would be that most clubs in the top flight would manage to be in the black. Indeed, 15 of the 20 Premier League clubs were profitable in 2013/14.

Everton had the 4th highest profit in the Premier League that season with £28 million, only behind Tottenham £80 million, Manchester United £41 million and Southampton £29 million.


This shows how much a football club’s profitability can be influenced by profits on player sales. As an example, in 2014/15 Southampton made £44 million from this activity, manly due to the sales of Adam Lallana and Dejan Lovren to Liverpool plus Calum Chambers to Arsenal, while the previous season saw Tottenham Hotspur make an amazing £104 million (largely due to the mega sale of Gareth Bale to Real Madrid) and Chelsea £65 million (David Luiz to Paris Saint-Germain).

Everton themselves made £28 million from player sales in 2013/14, largely due to Fellaini’s transfer, but just £3 million in 2014/15. In terms of keeping their squad together, this is clearly a good thing, but obviously had a big adverse effect on their financial results.


To an extent, Everton’s small loss in 2015 is a return to their customary performance, as they had been consistently loss-making between 2006 and 2012 (with a cumulative £45 million loss in those seven years) before the improvement seen in 2013 and 2014

However, it is fair to say that in many years Everton have effectively subsidised their underlying deficit with the sale of a major player. Indeed, in the 11 years from 2005 Everton basically broke-even (making total profits of £5 million), but £128 million of this came from player sales. This has been a regular theme going back to 2005 when the £24 million profit was almost entirely because of Wayne Rooney’s big money transfer to Manchester United.


Not only that, but Everton have also been selling off the family silver with a number of sale and leaseback deals plus the sale of their Bellefield training ground in 2011, which generated an £8 million profit.

Given the impact that player sales have on the finances of a club like Everton, it is worth exploring how football clubs account for transfers, as it has a major impact on reported profits. The fundamental point is that when a club purchases a player the costs are spread over a few years, but any profit made from selling players is immediately booked to the accounts.


So, when a club buys a player, it does not show the full transfer fee in the accounts in that year, but writes-down the cost (evenly) over the length of the player’s contract. Therefore, if Everton spent £25 million on a new player with a 5-year contract, the annual expense would be only £5 million (£25 million divided by 5 years) in player amortisation (on top of wages).

However, when that player is sold, the club reports straight away the profit on player sales, which essentially equals sales proceeds less any remaining value in the accounts. In our example, if the player were to be sold 3 years later for £32 million, the cash profit would be £7 million (£32 million less £25 million), but the accounting profit would be higher at £22 million, as the club would have already booked £15 million of amortisation (3 years at £5 million).


This is all horribly technical, but it does help explain how clubs can spend big in the transfer market with relatively little immediate impact on their reported profits. Even though the annual cost of purchasing players is therefore somewhat reduced in the profit and loss account, it is worth noting that the impact of Everton’s increasing spend in the transfer market over the last two years has pushed up player amortisation, which has just about doubled from £11 million in 2013 to £20 million in 2015.


Obviously this is nowhere near as much as the really big spenders like Manchester United (£100 million), Chelsea (£72 million) and Manchester City (£70 million), but it is something that Everton will have to keep an eye on in future years.


The other side of the coin here is that all these signings have helped strengthen the balance sheet with player values (reported as intangible assets) climbing to £53 million, compared to only £24 million just three years ago. So what, you might say, but it is obviously good for any club to have better quality “assets” on the pitch.

In point of fact, the accounting treatment understates the value of Everton’s squad, as it does not fully reflect the market value of internationals like John Stones, Seamus Coleman, Phil Jagielka, James McCarthy and Leighton Baines, while attributing no value to homegrown players like Ross Barkley.


Given all the accounting complexities arising from player trading, clubs often looks at EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxation, Depreciation and Amortisation) for a better understanding of how profitable they are from their core business. In Everton’s case, EBITDA was only slightly above zero for many years before shooting up to £25 million in 2014, though it did fall back to £18 million last season.

This highlights the impact of the new TV deal in 2014, as the combined £43 million of EBITDA in the last two seasons is nearly twice as much as the club generated in the previous seven seasons.


This is pretty good, but at the same time helps to outline the challenge for clubs like Everton, as the EBITDA at the leading clubs is significantly higher, despite their larger wage bills: Manchester United £120 million, Manchester City £83 million, Arsenal £64 million, Liverpool £53 million and Chelsea £51 million.


Since 2009 Everton’s revenue has grown by 58% (£46 million) from £80 million to £126 million. Not bad at all, but much of this is down to the increasing TV deal (£33 million), which is thanks to the central Premier League negotiating team, as opposed to the club’s board. Commercial revenue has apparently risen by £17 million in the same period, while gate receipts have fallen £4 million, though this is misleading, as it does not take into consideration the club’s restatement of the revenue categories in 2014.

In any case, the growing TV money has allowed Everton to change their traditional business model, so they no longer need to sell to buy, which in the past led to the departures of players like Jack Rodwell, Mikel Arteta, Joleon Lescott and Andy Johnson.

Despite significant growth over the last two years, Everton’s revenue of £126 million is still a lot lower than the Champions League elite, e.g. the top four clubs all earn well above £300 million: Manchester United £395 million, Manchester City £352 million, Arsenal £329 million and Chelsea £320 million.


Little wonder that Kenwright once asked, “How does Everton do it? How do we consistently perform so well in these days of cheque book fuelled football?” This is a reference to Everton consistently outperforming their revenue level.

That said, Everton are not doing too badly in revenue terms, as they are the 8th highest in the Premier League, just behind Newcastle United, but ahead of Aston Villa, West Ham and Southampton.

In fact, if the gross revenue from the outsourced catering and kit deals were to be added back, then Everton’s revenue would be around £8 million higher at £134 million.


What’s more, Everton’s revenue is now the 20th highest in the world according to the Deloitte Money League, ahead of famous clubs such as Marseille £109 million, AS Roma £107 million and Benfica £105 million.

However, this does not help them much domestically, as there are no fewer than 14 Premier League clubs in the world’s top 30 clubs by revenue (and all of them are in the top 40). As Roberto Martinez emphasised, “The Premier League is the most competitive league in Europe week in week out.”


Everton’s revenue mix shows their reliance on Premier League TV money: broadcasting 65% (though this was down from 70% in 2014), commercial 21% and gate receipts 14%. As Elstone said, “Our financial performance, like so many Premier League clubs, was underpinned by the second year of a TV deal that beat all expectations.”


That’s certainly the case. In fact, in 2013/14 nine Premier League clubs had a greater reliance on TV money than Everton with four clubs getting more than 80% of their revenue from broadcasting: Crystal Palace, Swansea City, Hull City and WBA.

In 2014/15 Everton’s share of the Premier League TV money fell 5% from £85 million to £81 million. The distribution of these funds  is based on a fairly equitable methodology with the top club (Chelsea) receiving £99 million, while the bottom club (QPR) got £65 million.


Most of the money is allocated equally to each club, which means 50% of the domestic rights (£22.0 million in 2014/15), 100% of the overseas rights (£27.8 million) and 100% of the commercial revenue (£4.4 million). However, merit payments (25% of domestic rights) are worth £1.2 million per place in the league table and facility fees (25% of domestic rights) depend on how many times each club is broadcast live.

In this way, Everton were hurt by falling from 5th place to 11th, which cost them £7 million, though this was slightly mitigated by being shown live on one more occasion, which was worth an extra £1 million. There was also £4.4 million of commercial revenue awarded to all Premier League clubs, though I suspect that Everton might have reported this within commercial income, even though most other clubs classify it as broadcasting income.


"Heart and Soul"

This would help explain why Everton’s total broadcasting income in the accounts was only £81.7 million, even though the total Premier League distribution was £80.6 million and Europa League prize money was around £5 million (€7.5 million). Incidentally, this would also account for some of the reported growth in commercial income.

Either way, Elstone is right to draw attention to the new TV deal stating in 2016/17: “Of course, we are now less than a year away from receiving the benefit of the next deal and one that makes the current, outstanding deal look modest.”

My estimates suggest that Everton would receive an additional £37 million under the new contract, increasing the total received to an incredible £118 million. This is based on the contracted 70% increase in the domestic deal and an assumed 30% increase in the overseas deals (though this might be a bit conservative, given some of the deals announced to date). Of course, if they were to finish higher in the league table, they would earn even more.


Everton’s Europa League experience saw them earn €7.5 million. This was not much reward for their efforts in reaching the last 16, which included wins against Wolfsburg, Lille and Young Boys Bern, but was at least the highest sum received by the English entrants in that tournament.

Martinez has claimed that “being a regular team in Europe is what we want”, but also struck a note of caution when adding that it “unquestionably affects performance in the Premier League”, as it tests squad strength to the limit.

The big money is obviously in the Champions League with English clubs averaging €39 million in 2014/15 and is getting higher, as the new TV deal from the 2015/16 season is worth an additional 40-50%, thanks to BT Sports paying more than Sky/ITV for live games.


Everton’s gate receipts grew by £1.1 million (7%) from £16.8 million to £17.9 million in 2014/15 through a combination of higher attendances and more match day income from participation in the Europa League, offset by fewer home domestic cup games. Attendances rose from 37,732 to 38,406, the highest recorded since the 2003/04 season with 12 of 19 Premier League games sold out.

The club attributed the increase in attendances to “successful season ticket and hospitality membership campaigns” with almost 28,000 season ticket holders being 4,000 more than the previous season.


Although there were some small increases in ticket prices in 2014/15, these were frozen for the 2015/16 campaign. The club has emphasised its “commitment to affordable pricing and making football at Goodison accessible to young fans” with the continuation of the £95 season ticket for junior school children.

Despite all these encouraging initiatives, the fact remains that Everton’s match day income of £18 million is miles behind the top six clubs: Arsenal £100 million, Manchester United £91 million, Chelsea £71 million, Liverpool £51 million, Tottenham £44 million and Manchester City £43 million.


This was acknowledged by Elstone, “The real springboard to greater things will be the new stadium”, and the club remains in talks with Liverpool City Council over Walton Hall Park. However, Everton fans would be entitled to be sceptical about this project, as two other proposed stadium moves have come to nothing: first King’s Dock in 2003, then Kirkby in 2009.

Most obviously, there is the question of who would pay for a new stadium? Elstone has already said, “We would need to think very carefully about a new stadium that adds the burden of significant debt on the club.” The hope would be that Liverpool City council would put in a level of investment as part of a wider regeneration of the area, but this appears a tad optimistic given the spending cuts imposed on the council. Either way, it is clear that little tangible progress has been made with Elstone informing this week's AGM that no agreement had been reached on any partnership.

In that meeting, the chief executive once again spoke of the fantastic opportunity for the football club”, but described it as a hugely challenging funding project”. He has been seeking a potential naming rights partner, but these are difficult to secure, and he admitted earlier this year that this is proving slower than anticipated.

Although Kenwright has admitted that “leaving our beloved Goodison Park would bring a degree of sadness”, the need for a new stadium is now more important than ever with West Ham about to benefit from their move to the Olympic Stadium, while Tottenham and Chelsea have both announced major redevelopment initiatives.


Everton’s commercial income surged 37% (£7 million) from £19 million to £26 million in 2014/15, comprising £10.4 million for sponsorship, advertising and merchandising plus £15.6 million for other commercial activities. The sponsorship growth was due to “the long-term support of key partners such as Chang and Kitbag, as well as the club’s first year of the new kit partner deal with Umbro”, while other commercial revenue benefited from participation in the Europa League.

As we saw earlier, it is not completely clear what the club has included within commercial income. For example, if we add up the money from the three major deals (Chang £5.3 million, Umbro £6 million and Kitbag £3 million), we get £14.3 million, which is more than the total of £10.4 million reported for sponsorship, advertising and merchandising.

Whatever it consists of, Everton’s commercial income of £26 million pales into insignificance compared to heavyweights such as Manchester United, who generate £196 million from this activity. That comparison might be a little unfair, but it is worth noting that Tottenham earned £42 million and Aston Villa and Newcastle United also earned £26 million (in the 2013/14 season).

"All roads lead to Rom"

That said, the comparisons are a bit misleading, as Everton have outsourced their catering and kit deals. If they were to report these revenues gross (like most other clubs), their commercial income would rise by £8 million to £34 million.

This is not too shabby, but could be better, as Elstone admitted: “Our commercial revenues benchmark well against teams finishing below sixth in the table, but it is a fact that we lag well behind – and disproportionately behind – clubs playing regularly in Europe.”

Many supporters have criticised the 10-year Kitbag deal, which provides a guaranteed £3 million a year plus royalties for running the retail operation, replacing a deal with JJB worth £1.6 million a year. However, Elstone seems happy enough, "Kitbag is a great deal for this football club. It was from day one." He has also described it as a good arrangement that “de-risks Everton in a notoriously difficult business sector”.


However, it does betray a lack of ambition, especially when we look at some of the kit supplier deals secured by other clubs, e.g. Arsenal – Puma £30 million, Liverpool – New Balance £28 million, Tottenham – Under Armour £10 million, and Aston Villa – Macron £4 million.

Similarly, while it is laudable that Everton have the longest running shirt sponsorship deal in the Premier League, having first signed with Chang back in 2004, this does raise the question of whether they could get more elsewhere than the £5.3 million from the current deal (worth £16 million for the three years up to 2016/17).

The Umbro deal was described as a club record and is reportedly worth £6 million a season, which would be twice as much as the previous Nike contract, though the latest accounts suggest that it might not be so high in reality.


Everton’s wage bill rose 12% (£8 million) to £78 million, following continued investment in the squad, with the additions of Romelu Lukaku, Gareth Barry, Muhamed Besic and Brendan Galloway, together with loan spells for Christian Atsu and Aaron Lennon. In addition, new contracts were awarded to Roberto Martinez, Ross Barkley, Seamus Coleman and John Stones.

Furthermore, the average number of employees increased from 247 to 274, including unexplained growth in management and administration from 57 to 71.


The wages growth outpaced revenue growth, so increased the wages to turnover ratio from 58% to 62%. However, this is still the second best ratio the club has recorded in the last six years and is well within the norm in the Premier League with 13 of the 20 clubs grouped in a fairly narrow range of 56-64% the previous season. Furthermore, the ratio would fall to 58% if the club added back its outsourced revenue (retail and catering).


Everton’s ability to outperform their financial resources is underlined by their relatively low wage bill, which was only the 10th highest in the Premier League in 2013/14, behind Sunderland and Aston Villa. Even though this has increased to £78 million, to place this into context, it is dwarfed by the elite clubs, who all pay around £200 million: Manchester United £203 million, Manchester City £194 million, Chelsea £193 million and Arsenal £192 million.

Everton’s 2014/15 increase of £8 million is very similar to the growth reported by other clubs so far: West Ham £9 million, Southampton £9 million and Stoke City £6 million.


One thing that is quite striking in Everton’s accounts is the £4 million growth in other operating costs from £26 million to £30 million, especially as this cost category has shot up by 40% (£9 million) in the last two years without any substantial explanation.


This seems quite high for a club of Everton’s size, especially as the retail and catering businesses have been outsourced, so theoretically other operating costs should be lower than other clubs (as net profits are reported in revenue).

Even though Kenwright has argued, “We’re not a selling club. Never really have been.”, Everton averaged net sales of £7 million a year between 2009 and 2014. However, that has changed in the last two years with average net spend of £26 million, as the club has made no major sales, but invested significant sums on improving Martinez’ squad, smashing their own transfer record in the process when bringing in Lukaku from Chelsea.


Elstone accepted that things had changed: “In the past, when 85p in every £1 we earned was spent at Finch Farm, we had little scope to strengthen the club away from the training ground.”

He underlined the move away from the previous hand-to-mouth existence: “Increasingly, we’ve also been able to sign talented young footballers, who join us not as the finished article, but as great prospects and yet still command significant transfer fees. Players like Galloway, Henen and Holgate might not have joined with that singular focus on the first team.”


In fact, Everton’s net spend of £51 million in the last two seasons is the sixth highest in the Premier League. Although this was still a long way below the two Manchester clubs (City £151 million and United £145 million), it was surprisingly more than Chelsea £40 million and only juts behind Liverpool £57 million.

Clearly, fans will be concerned that Everton will be tempted to sell their young stars with Chelsea offering £40 million for John Stones in the summer and Lukaku and Barkley also worth large sums in today’s market.

However, Martinez says that Everton are no longer forced to sell their prize assets: “We don't fear that situation. What you fear is when you have to sell players to balance the books, when the owner says you need to cash in on two or three star players, that becomes a problem. But it is not the situation at Everton. That is not to say we are going to sell any player or not sell any player, but the decisions we make will be for the benefit of the squad and club going forward.”


Everton’s net debt rose £3 million from £28 million to £31 million, but the gross debt was actually cut by £9 million from £49 million to £40 million with the real driver being the £12 million reduction in cash balances, which fell from £21 million to £9 million. Thanks to higher TV money, not to mention the funds from the Fellaini sale, net debt has improved considerably from the £45 million level in the years up to 2013, which Elstone explained thus: “our pursuit of success has stretched our finances.”

There are basically two elements to Everton’s debt: (a) 25-year loan of £21 million, which bears a high interest rate of 7.79%, leading to annual payments of £2.8 million; (b) an annual loan of £19 million renewable every August, securitised on Premier League TV money, at a stonking 8.2% interest rate.

The short-term loan was taken out with Vibrac, a shadowy offshore corporation based in the British Virgin Islands, which has also provided funding to other English clubs, including West Ham, Southampton, Fulham and Reading. This loan was repaid in August, but has been replaced by another loan with the equally mysterious James Grant (JG) Funding.

Everton also have contingent liabilities of £20 million (£9 million dependent on future appearances and £11 million loyalty bonuses if certain players are still with the club on specific dates), up from £13 million the previous season. On top of that, the club confirmed that it has entered into net transfer agreements since the accounts closed of £22 million.


Like many other clubs, it is clear that Everton are spending as much as they can, thus building up their transfer debt, in order to give themselves the best chance of success, though this should not be a problem, so long as they avoid the nightmare scenario of relegation.

In fairness, Everton’s debt is one of the lowest in the Premier League with only seven clubs owing  less than the Toffees. In fact, five clubs have debt above £100 million, namely Manchester United £411 million, Arsenal £234 million, Newcastle United £129 million, Liverpool £127 million and Aston Villa £104 million.


The high interest rate on Everton’s loans mean that their financing costs are among the largest in the Premier League. Although nowhere near as much as the interest paid by the likes of Manchester United and Arsenal, this certainly does not help the club’s finances. Looked at another way, the £4-5 million paid out each year in interest would fund the wages of one world class player (or two very good additions to the squad).


The significance of interest payments is highlighted by looking at the 2015 cash flow. Cash generated from operating activities was £11m, but the cash balance ended up falling £12 million after a series of payments: £7 million net on player transfers; £4 million on those interest payments; £3 million on capital expenditure (stadium refurbishment and a new pitch); and £9 million repayment of loans.

This unwelcome burden is even more emphasised when reviewing the cash flow over the last seven years. In that period, Everton generated £61 million of cash, mainly from operating activities £49 million, though this was supplemented by the sale of the old training ground £9 million and other loans (net) £3 million.


Nearly half (46%) of this cash £28 million was required for interest payments, which was more than the £25 million spent on “good” things: £17 million for new players and £8 million infrastructure investment. The remaining £8 million simply increased the cash balance.


Of those clubs that have so far published their 2015 accounts, Everton and Southampton are the only ones to have reduced cash balances. Others have significantly increased cash, notably the “big boys”, i.e. Arsenal (up to £228 million), Manchester United £156 million and Manchester City £75 million.

Of course, those hefty interest payments to external finance organisations underline the fact that the current Everton directors have not invested in their club, in stark contrast to benefactors at other clubs, who have put in substantial sums without taking a penny of interest. This helps explain why some supporters are unhappy with the board, as seen by a hired plane flying over the match against Southampton in August trailing the banner “Kenwright & Co #timetogo”.

The club claim that they are open to a sale, but it has not gone unnoticed that they have been looking for a buyer for a long time. Back in 2012 Kenwright proclaimed, “My desire to find a person, or institution, with the finance to move us forward has not diminished. We will find major investment.”

"Born to run"

However, since then, nothing, nada, zilch. There were whispers of American interest recently, but one of the potential buyers, Rob Heineman, admitted that his Sporting Club group were never close to a takeover.

This has led some to believe that Everton are not entirely serious in their quest for investment, though to be fair other clubs such as Aston Villa and West Brom have also struggled to find a suitable purchaser in the last few years.

Elstone has maintained the party line: “The search for the funds that will allow the club to leap forward continues without any slowing down or any less enthusiasm. It is worth stating again, and very clearly, there are no unreasonable conditions on the sale of Everton. The only condition is one we think is perfectly reasonable - that the new owner has to want to, and must be able to, take the club forward.”

Fair enough, but if a club like Everton with the 8th highest revenue in the Premier League, relatively low debt, a mega new TV deal on the horizon, opportunities for commercial growth and a much-admired academy, cannot find a buyer, then something is surely amiss.

"Call me"

It’s not so much that Kenwright and Elstone have done anything wrong, it’s the fact that they appear to be relatively comfortable with the status quo, not showing the requisite ambition to drive the club forward.

The club’s Latin motto, “Nil Satis Nisi Optimum” (“Nothing but the best is good enough”), may feel a touch ambitious when competing against the riches of today’s elite, but as Martinez rightly said, Everton should “strive to be the best we can be.”

The manager added, “We want to build around young players – our strategy is to build something and keep what we see as the future. We want to achieve things and see how high we can go.” Spot on, Roberto.
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