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Showing posts with label Roman Abramovich. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Roman Abramovich. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Chelsea - The Band Wore Blue Shirts


This season has seen a return to form for Chelsea following the appointment of Antonio Conte. The former manager of Italy is famed for his passion, but also possesses much tactical astuteness, as evidenced by previously leading Juventus to three consecutive Serie A titles. Under his guidance, Chelsea are currently setting the pace and look a very good bet for the league title.

This demonstrates just how quickly things can change in football, as the 2015/16 season was Chelsea’s worst in the Roman Abramovich era with the club slumping to a disappointing tenth place in the Premier League, thus failing to qualify for Europe for the first time in 20 years. This inevitably resulted in the departure of José Mourinho, the self-proclaimed “special one”, with the reins handed to Guus Hiddink until Conte’s arrival.

This dismal performance was matched off the pitch with the 2015/16 accounts revealing a £70 million pre-tax loss, around £49 million worse than the previous season’s £21 million deficit.


In fairness, this was predominately due to £75 million of exceptional expenses, largely £67 million to terminate the Adidas kit supplier contract in favour of a significantly more lucrative deal with Nike, plus £8 million compensation to Mourinho and his team. Without these exceptionals, Chelsea would have reported a profit before tax of £5 million.

Revenue rose £15 million (5%) to a record level of £329 million, as commercial income increased by £9 million (8%) to £117 million following the new shirt sponsorship with Yokohama Tyres.

Broadcasting income was also up £7 million (5%) at £143 million with the higher UEFA deal increasing Champions League distribution by around £20 million, though this was partly offset by the £12 million reduction in Premier League TV money due to the lower league finish. Gate receipts fell slightly by £1 million to £70 million.

"U Got The Look"

In addition, profits on player sales increased by £8 million to an impressive £49 million, principally due to the sales of Ramires to Jiangsu Suring, Petr Cech to Arsenal, Mo Salah to Roma, Oriol Romeu to Southampton and Stipe Perica to Udinese.

In contrast, the wage bill rose by £7 million (3%) to £222 million, while player amortisation also increased £2 million (2%) to £71 million, though other expenses were £11 million lower at £71 million.

It is also worth noting the enormous £29 million loss that Chelsea made on cash flow hedges, as FX movements dramatically reduced the value of their forward currency contracts, presumably due to Brexit. This took their comprehensive loss to £99 million.

For comparison, Manchester United reported a similar £38 million loss on cash flow hedges, while this was not yet an issue for Arsenal or Manchester City, whose accounts closed on 31 May (i.e. pre-Brexit).


Chelsea’s £70 million loss is likely to be the worst financial performances in England’s top flight in 2015/16. The only other club to have announced a loss so far is Everton with £24 million.

In contrast, six of the eight Premier League clubs that have published their accounts to date for last season have reported profits, the largest being Manchester United £49 million, Manchester City £20 million and Norwich City £13 million, followed by Arsenal £3 million, Stoke City £2 million and West Bromwich Albion £1 million.

Although football clubs have traditionally lost money, the increasing TV deals allied with Financial Fair Play (FFP) mean that the Premier League these days is a largely profitable environment with only six clubs losing money in 2014/15. This group largely comprised clubs that have been badly run (Aston Villa, Sunderland and QPR), but also included Manchester United, Everton and, yes, Chelsea.


Chelsea’s loss would have been even higher without the benefit of £49 million profit on player sales, which will certainly be one of the highest in the Premier League in 2015/16, if not the highest.

Of course, Chelsea are no strangers to making losses in the Abramovich era, as they have invested substantially to first build a squad capable of winning trophies and then to keep them at the top of the pile.


Since the Russian acquired the club in June 2003, it has reported aggregate losses of £753 million, averaging £58 million a season, though there has been some improvement since the spectacular £140 million loss in 2005 with Chelsea posting profits in two of the last five years.

The first profit made under the Abramovich ownership was a small £1 million surplus in 2012, though this did owe a lot to £18 million profit arising from the cancellation of preference shares previously owned by BSkyB, while they were also profitable in 2014.

Chairman Bruce Buck has consistently maintained that the club’s objective is sustainability: “It has long been our aim for the business to be stable independent of the team’s results and we continue to reinforce that.”


Chelsea’s figures have consistently suffered from so-called exceptional items, which have increased costs by an amazing £202 million since 2005.

Leading the way are two early terminations of shirt sponsorship agreements £93 million and money paid as compensation paid to dismissed managers £69 million, though the list also includes impairment of player registrations £28 million, tax on image rights £6 million, impairment of other fixed assets £5 million and loss on disposal of investments £1 million.

On the bright side, Chelsea appear to be learning from their mistakes, as the recent pay-off to Mourinho and his coaching team of £8 million was around a third of the £23 million it cost in 2008.

It is not clear whether the £5 million reportedly paid to former club doctor Eva Carneiro following an employment tribunal was included in this year’s accounts or will only be booked next year.


However, it is profit from player sales that is having an increasing influence on Chelsea’s figures. In the nine years between 2005 and 2013, Chelsea averaged £13 million profit from selling players, but this has shot up to an average of £52 million in the three years since then.

Last year included the eye-catching £25 million sale of Ramires to China, while previous seasons featured some other big money moves: David Luiz (PSG) £40 million, Juan Mata (Manchester United) £32 million, Romelu Lukaku (Everton) £28 million, André Schürrle (Wolfsburg) £22 million and Kevin De Bruyne (Wolfsburg) £17 million.

It is notable how much more money Chelsea make from player sales than their direct rivals, e.g. over the last three seasons Chelsea earned £155 million, compared to just £38 million at Arsenal, £35 million at Manchester City and £21 million at Manchester United. Although Tottenham, Liverpool and Southampton also generate substantial sums from transfers, this is more understandable, given their revenue shortfalls.

"Put on your dancing shoes"

Next year’s accounts will be more of the same following the £60 million sale of Oscar to Shanghai SIPG. This trend of players making lucrative moves to China has clearly benefited the club financially, but it has not met with Conte’s full approval, “We are talking about an amount of money which is not right”, though fans of other clubs could be forgiven for thinking that this is a bit rich, coming from a Chelsea manager.

Indeed, led by Marina Granovskaia, one of Abramovich’s closest associates, Chelsea have perfected a model whereby they consistently make money from player sales. As well as the big ticket deals already mentioned, Chelsea have also made extensive use of the loan system with an incredible 35 players currently listed as being out on loan (though I may well have lost count).

Although the club argues that this strategy is simply aimed at giving players experience, it is difficult not to believe that this is primarily a money making exercise. Given that very few of these players have succeeded in establishing themselves in Chelsea’s first team, it would appear that the objective is to develop players for future (profitable) sales, while effectively placing them in the shop window.

"Oh, sit down, sit down next to me"

The most recent example is Patrick Bamford, signed for £1.5 million in 2012, and sold to Middlesbrough this month for a fee of £6 million, potentially rising to £10 million with add-ons, even though he never appeared for Chelsea’s first team. During the last five years the England U21 international has been loaned out no fewer than six times.

From a financial perspective, this is a smart move that has helped Chelsea meet the Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations, though the moral counterpoint was delivered by FIFA President Gianni Infantino, “It doesn’t feel right for a club to just hoard the best young players and then to park them left and right. It’s not good for the development of the player.”

However, even though some might complain that this policy smacks of treating players like commodities (“buy low, sell high”), not to mention ensuring that rival clubs cannot access promising talent, there are (currently) no rules against it and other clubs, such as Udinese, have operated in a similar way for many years without sanctions.


To get an idea of underlying profitability and how much cash is generated, football clubs often look at EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Depreciation and Amortisation), as this metric strips out player trading and non-cash items.

In Chelsea’s case this highlights their recent improvement, as it is has been positive for the last four years, rising from £16 million in 2015 to £35 million in 2016, though still lower than the £51 million peak in 2014.


However, to place that into context, this is way behind Manchester United £192 million, Manchester City £109 million and Arsenal £82 million. United’s amazing ability to generate cash means that their EBITDA (“cash profit”) is more than five times as much as Chelsea and helps explain the Blues’ focus on player sales.


Chelsea have increased their revenue by 29% (£73 million) in the last three years from £256 million to £329 million. The growth is split pretty evenly between broadcasting income, which has increased 36% (£38 million) from £105 million to £143 million, thanks to new TV deals in both the Premier League and the Champions League; and commercial income, which has nearly gone up by nearly 50% from £80 million to £117 million.

Match day receipts have actually fallen slightly from £71 million to £70 million, which underlines why Chelsea are planning to expand their stadium.


Although Chelsea’s £15 million (5%) revenue growth in 2015/16 took their revenue to a record level, it was not that good compared to their major rivals. Admittedly, Manchester United’s £120 million (30%) growth was influenced by their return to the Champions League, but the growth at Manchester City £40 million (11%) and Arsenal £21 million (6%) was also higher than Chelsea.

That said, Chelsea’s revenue should grow in 2016/17, despite a £60 million reduction from the lack of European competition, as they will benefit from the new Premier League TV deal including a higher league position (+£70 million) plus a new commercial deal with Carabao (+£10 million). That should mean a net £20 million increase to around £350 million.

Furthermore, 2017/18 will be boosted by the £30 million increment from the Nike kit deal. On the relatively safe assumption that Chelsea qualify for the Champions League, the 2017/18 figures should be close to £450 million.


As it stands, Chelsea’s revenue of £329 million was the fourth highest in England in 2015/16, though nearly £200 million lower than United’s £515 million. They were also a fair way behind Manchester City £392 million, but quite close to Arsenal £351 million.

Liverpool were within striking distance at £302 million, but there was a significant gap to the remaining Premier League clubs: Tottenham Hotspur £209 million, West Ham £144 million and Leicester City £129 million.


Chelsea remained in eighth place in the Deloitte 2016 Money League, only behind Manchester United, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Manchester City, Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal. This is obviously excellent, but they face three major challenges here (in common with other English clubs):

  • The leading clubs continue to grow their revenue apace, e.g. Real Madrid and Barcelona have reportedly agreed massive new kit supplier deals worth north of £100 million a season.
  • The weakening of the Pound since the Brexit vote means that continental clubs will earn much more in Sterling terms, e.g. the latest Money League was converted at €1.3371, while the current rate has slumped to around €1.17. At that rate, the €620 million earned by Real Madrid and Barcelona would be equivalent to £530 million, taking them above Manchester United.
  • The Money League highlights the increasingly competitive nature of England’s top flight with no fewer than 12 Premier League clubs in the top 30 – even before the lucrative new TV deal.


Eagle-eyed observers will have noticed that the Money League figure for Chelsea’s revenue of £335 million is £6 million higher than the £329 million reported by the football club. This is because they have used the figure from the holding company, Fordstam Limited.

Although this company has not yet published its 2016 accounts, the £319.5 million reported in 2015 is exactly the same as the figure in last year’s Money League. The difference is entirely in commercial income.


If we compare Chelsea’s revenue to that of the other nine clubs in the Money League top ten, we can immediately see where their largest problem lies, namely commercial income, where Chelsea are substantially lower than their rivals that have traditionally been more successful in monetising their brand: Manchester United £150 million, Bayern Munich £134 million (£244 million minus £113 million), Real Madrid £80 million and Barcelona £99 million. The £106 million shortfall against PSG is largely due to the French club’s “innovative” agreement with the Qatar Tourist Authority.

On the plus side, Chelsea look to be fine on broadcasting and not too bad on match day income, though there is room for improvement in the latter category.


The growth in broadcasting income in 2015/16 means that this now accounts for 43% of Chelsea’s total revenue, ahead of commercial income 35%, which has risen from 26% in 2009. As a consequence, the importance of match day income has diminished from 36% to only 21% in the same period, once again reiterating the rationale for the planned stadium expansion.

Chelsea’s share of the Premier League television money dropped £12 million from £99 million to £87 million in 2015/16, largely due to finishing tenth compared to winning the title the previous season. Nevertheless, they earned more three clubs finishing above them (Southampton, West Ham and Stoke City), as the smaller merit payment was more than offset by higher facility fees for having more games broadcast live.


The mega Premier League TV deal in 2016/17 will deliver even more money. Based on the contracted 70% increase in the domestic deal and an estimated 40% increase in the overseas deals, the top four clubs will receive £150-160 million, while even the bottom club will trouser around £100 million.

Although this is clearly great news for Premier League clubs, it is somewhat of a double-edged sword for the elite, as it makes it more difficult (or at the very least more expensive) to persuade the mid-tier clubs to sell their talent, thus increasing competition


The other main element of broadcasting revenue is European competition with Chelsea receiving €69 million for reaching the last 16 in the Champions League, which was €30 million more than reaching the same stage the previous season, partly influenced by the increase in the 2016 to 2018 cycle, namely higher prize money plus significant growth in the TV (market) pool, thanks to BT Sports paying more than Sky/ITV for live games.

In fact, Chelsea actually earned the sixth highest in the Champions League, more than semi-finalists Bayern Munich, because of how the TV (market) pool works. Each country’s share of the market pool is based on the value of the national TV deal, which means that English clubs have prospered from the huge BT Sports deal, though it should be noted that around half of this goes into the central pot, so they do not receive the full benefit.


Half of the TV pool then depends on the position that a club finished in the previous season’s domestic league: the team finishing first receives 40%, the team finishing second 30%, third 20% and fourth 10%. As Chelsea won the title in 2014/15, compared to finishing third the year before, they received a higher percentage in 2015/16 for this element.

The other half of the TV pool depends on a club’s progress in the current season’s Champions League, which is calculated based on the number of games played (starting from the group stages). In this way, Manchester City reaching the semi-final last season adversely impacted Chelsea’s share.


Although some have played down the value of Champions League qualification in light of the massive new Premier League TV deal, it is evident that it is still financially beneficial.

It has clearly helped Chelsea, who have earned €253 million from Europe in the last five seasons, more than any other English club. It has thus become a major revenue differentiator against their domestic rivals with Chelsea earning substantially more than them in this period: City €32 million, Arsenal €77 million, United €95 million, Liverpool €176 million and Tottenham €212 million.


Commercial revenue rose by 8% (£9 million) to £117 million in 2015/16, which was a little disappointing, given that this year included the first year of the five-year shirt sponsorship deal with Yokohama Tyres. The implication is that some of the commercial deals include success clauses, so the lower league place and failure to qualify for Europe bit hard.

In fact, since 2014 Chelsea’s commercial growth of £8 million (7%) has been smaller than all their rivals, notably Manchester United £79 million (42%) and Arsenal £30 million (39%).


Currently, Chelsea’s £117 million is less than half of United’s astonishing £268 million, £90 million below Manchester City’s £178 million and even behind Liverpool’s £120 million.

However, Chelsea’s commercial revenue will increase substantially in the next couple of years. First, they agreed a three-year deal worth £10 million a year with Carabao, a Thai energy drink company, to sponsor training wear from 2016/17.

They then signed “the largest commercial deal in the club’s history” with Nike, which is worth £60 million a year (15-year deal for £900 million), i.e. twice as much as the current Adidas £30 million contract, from 2017/18.

"Boy from Brazil"

The Adidas deal was due to run to 2023, so the six years from 2017 would have brought in £180 million, compared to £360 million from Nike over the same period, meaning a £180 million increase. Although this is reduced to £113 million after considering the £67 million termination fee, it still represents a tidy improvement.

In addition, the Yokohama Tyres shirt sponsorship of £40 million a year is worth more than double the £18 million previously paid by Samsung. All in all, these three kit deals will be worth £110 million per annum, which is £62 million more than the previous £48 million.


These deals will leave Chelsea only behind Manchester United for the main shirt sponsorship and kit supplier deals – and it’s difficult to compete with their massive agreements with Chevrolet £56 million (at the June 2016 USD exchange rate) and Adidas £75 million.

However, the £40 million shirt sponsorship is well ahead of Arsenal – Emirates £30 million, Liverpool – Standard Chartered £25 million, Manchester City – Etihad £20 million and Tottenham Hotspur – AIA £16 million.


Similarly, the £60 million Nike kit supplier deal will be much better than those signed by Arsenal and Liverpool, respectively £30 million (PUMA) and £28 million (Warrior), though these will be up for renegotiation before Chelsea.

Looking further afield new kit agreements reportedly signed by Barcelona (Nike) and Real Madrid (Adidas) are worth £125 million and £115 million respectively (at the current exchange rate), so the bar is continually being raised.


Match day income was £1 million (2%) lower at £70 million, partly due to only staging two domestic cup games, compared to three the previous season. This revenue stream peaked at £78 million in 2011/12, thanks to the victories in the Champions League and the FA Cup.

Chelsea’s match day revenue is at least £30 million lower than Manchester United and Arsenal, though is still pretty good, considering that their grounds are much larger.


This is reflected in the average attendances with Chelsea’s 41,500 miles behind United (75,000) and Arsenal (60,000). It is also lower than Manchester City, Newcastle United, Liverpool and Sunderland.

The reason that Chelsea’s revenue is higher than clubs with higher attendances is that they earn a healthy £2.8 million a game, compared to, say, £2.0 million at Liverpool and £1.8 million at Manchester City. This is partly due to their ticket prices, which, according to the BBC Price of Football survey, are the third highest in England, only surpassed by Arsenal and Tottenham.

That said, Chelsea have again held ticket prices at 2011/12 levels, which means that general admission prices have remained unchanged in nine of the past 11 years. In addition, supporters attending away games in the Premier League over the next three seasons will pay no more than £30 a ticket.


Nevertheless, Chelsea’s revenue shortfall compared to United, Arsenal, Real Madrid and Barcelona helps explain why the club has spent so much time searching nearby locations for a new stadium.

After a couple of false starts, including possible moves to Battersea Power Station, Earls Court and White City, the good news is that planning permission has recently been granted by Hammersmith and Fulham borough council to build a new 60,000 capacity on the Stamford Bridge site.

This will be a complex build with the plan being to dig down to lower the arena into the excavated ground, while the club will also need to demolish Chelsea Village buildings that surround the ground and build walkways over the two rail lines that flank the stadium.

The assumption is that Abramovich will cover the costs, which have been estimated at £500 million, though it could be much higher, e.g. Tottenham’s new stadium will reportedly cost £750 million.

"Hair, he goes, there he goes again"

Chelsea Pitch Owners (CPO) still have to vote on whether to grant Chelsea a longer lease on Stamford Bridge and to give them permission to move away temporarily while the new stadium is constructed, but it would be surprising if they did not give the green light.

The aim is to have the new stadium ready for the 2021/22 season, which would mean Chelsea having to find a temporary home for three years. The club is in discussions with the Football Association to play at Wembley (as are Tottenham), but nothing has been decided. This would cost up to £15 million rent a year, though income might be higher if the crowds increased.

Chelsea have previously highlighted “the need to increase stadium revenue to remain competitive with our major rivals, this revenue being especially important under FFP rules.” In particular, the doubling of corporate seating to 9,000 seats could deliver significant additional revenue with more potentially coming from naming rights or other sponsorship opportunities.


Wages rose by £7 million (3%) to £222 million, driven by a massive increase in headcount, up 104 from 681 to 785. Playing staff, managers and coaches increased by 45 to 137, while administration and commercial staff were 59 higher at 648. The increase would have been even higher if bonuses had been paid at the same level as the league-winning season in 2014/15.

As a technical aside, note that these wage figures have been corrected when they have included exceptional items, e.g. in 2013/14 the reported staff costs of £190.6 million included a £2.1 million credit for the release of a provision for compensation for first team management changes, so the “clean” wage bill was £192.7 million.


Following the revenue growth, the wages to turnover ratio dropped from 69% to 68%, significantly better than the recent 82% peak in 2010. Interestingly, since the start of the new Premier League TV deal in 2013/14, revenue and wages growth is identical at 29%, implying a degree of control.

Nevertheless, Chelsea’s wages to turnover ratio is still the highest of the elite clubs, with the other members of the “Sky Six” much lower: Manchester United 45%, Manchester City 50%, Tottenham 51%, Arsenal 56% and Liverpool 56%.


That said, Chelsea have been overtaken by Manchester United, whose £232 million wage bill is once again the largest in the top flight. However Chelsea remain a fair bit higher than Manchester City £198 million and Arsenal £195 million.

There is then a big gap to the other Premier League clubs with the nearest challengers being Liverpool £166 million, Tottenham £101 million (both 2014/15 figures) and Everton £84 million.


This reflects Chelsea’s stated strategy: “In order to attract the talent which will continue to win domestic and European trophies and therefore drive increases in our revenue streams, the football club continually invests in the playing staff by way of both transfers and wages.”

In the last three seasons, Chelsea’s wages have increased by £50 million, which is in line with Manchester United £52 million and Arsenal £41 million. The anomaly is Manchester City, whose wage bill declined by £39 million in this period, partly due to a group restructure, whereby some staff are now paid by group companies, which then charge the club for services provided.


Although there is a natural focus on wages, other expenses also account for a considerable part of the budget at leading clubs, though there was an unexplained £11 million reduction at Chelsea in 2015/16 to £71 million.

Other expenses exclude wages, depreciation, player amortisation and exceptional items. They cover the costs of running the stadium, staging home games, supporting commercial partnerships, travel, medical expenses, insurance, retail costs, etc.


This means that Chelsea were also knocked off the top of this particular league table, with both Manchester clubs now ahead: United £91 million, City £86 million.


Another cost that has had a major impact on Chelsea’s profit and loss account is player amortisation, reflecting the significant investment in players. Chelsea’s initial wave of purchases under Abramovich saw player amortisation shoot up to £83 million in 2005, before falling away to £38 million in 2010 in line with less frenetic transfer activity. As spending kicked in again, player amortisation has steadily risen back to £71 million in 2016.


The accounting for player trading is horribly technical, but it is important to grasp how it works to really understand a football club’s accounts. The fundamental point is that when a club purchases a player the transfer fee is not fully expensed in the year of purchase, but the cost is written-off evenly over the length of the player’s contract, e.g. midfield dynamo N’Golo Kanté was reportedly bought from Leicester City for £32 million on a five-year deal, so the annual amortisation in the accounts for him is £6.4 million.

This helps explain why clubs like Chelsea can spend so much and still meet UEFA’s Financial Fair Play targets.


Unsurprisingly, this is one of the highest player amortisation charges in the Premier League, only surpassed by big spending Manchester City £94 million and Manchester United £88 million.

The value of Chelsea’s squad on the balance sheet increased to £241 million in 2016, though this understates how much they would fetch in the transfer market, not least because homegrown players are ascribed no value in the books. Chelsea are one of the few clubs to formally acknowledge this factor in the accounts, as they have valued the playing staff at a cool £399 million.


Chelsea’s activity in the transfer market is interesting. For the four years up to 2010 Chelsea’s average annual net spend was just £2 million, before rising to £67 million in the four years up to 2014, then apparently dropping back to £41 million in the last three seasons (excluding this January transfer window).

However, this is a little misleading, as it is partly a result of the increased player sales. If we look at gross spend, it tells a different story with Chelsea averaging around £100 million a season over the last seven years. Last summer alone they splashed £119 million on recruiting David Luiz, Michy Batshuayi, N’Golo Kanté and Marco Alonso.


Even so, their total net spend of £123 million in the last three seasons was comfortably beaten by Manchester City £299 million, Manchester United £275 million and (less predictably) Arsenal £165 million, though it was still a fair way above champions Leicester City £84 million.

Chelsea have no financial debt in the football club, as this has all been converted into equity by issuing new shares. That said, the club’s holding company, Fordstam Limited, does have well over £1 billion of debt (£1,097 million as of June 2015) in the form of an interest-free loan from the owner, theoretically repayable on 18 months notice.


There were some minimal contingent liabilities of £2.4 million, reflecting the fact that Chelsea, unlike most football clubs, pay all their transfer fees upfront, which must be an advantage in negotiations compared to other clubs that have to pay in stages.

Other clubs have to carry the burden of sizeable debt, notably Manchester United who still have £490 million of borrowings even after all the Glazers’ various re-financings and Arsenal, whose £233 million debt effectively comprises the “mortgage” on the Emirates stadium.


The advantage of having a benefactor like Abramovich is demonstrated by the annual interest payments at those clubs: £20 million for United, £13 million for Arsenal. Since 2010 United have paid out more than £400 million in financing costs, while Arsenal have paid £275 million in interest and loan repayments in that period. That is money that could have been spent on transfers or player wages – if their owner had acted like Chelsea’s favourite Russian.


Although Chelsea’s cash flow from operating activities has turned positive in the last four seasons (after adjusting for non-cash flow items, such as player amortisation and depreciation, plus working capital movements), they still require funding from the owner to cover player purchases and investment in improving facilities at Stamford Bridge and the training ground at Cobham.

That amounted to £90 million in the last two years: £43 million in 2016 and £47 million in 2015. In fact, since Abramovich acquired the club, he has put around £1 billion into the club, split between £620 million of new loans and £350 million of share capital. In that period £685 million of loans have been converted into share capital, including £12.5 million last season.


Most of this funding has been seen on the pitch with £753 million (77%) spent on net player recruitment, while another £140 million went on infrastructure investment. A further £46 million was required to cover operating losses with £12 million on interest payments, while the cash balance has increased by £23 million.

Indeed, Chelsea now have healthy cash at bank of £27 million, though this is still a lot lower than United £229 million and Arsenal £226 million. It’s a different approach: Abramovich puts his money into the club, especially the team, while United and Arsenal have to rely on cash generated from their own operating activities – though they do leave an awful lot of it in their bank account.


Given Chelsea’s several years of heavy financial losses, many observers had believed that they would fall foul of FFP, but that has not been the case with the accounts confirming that the club was compliant with both UEFA FFP and Premier League financial regulations.

The club has taken advantage of some of the allowable exclusions for UEFA’s break-even analysis, namely youth development, infrastructure and (for the initial monitoring periods) the wages for players signed before June 2010.

Even though Chelsea are compliant, it is clear that this legislation has been at the forefront of the club’s thinking. The accounts state: “FFP provides a significant challenge. The football club needs to balance success on the field together with the financial imperatives of this new regime.”

"Points of Authority"

Specifically, Chelsea will need to consider the Premier League’s Short Term Cost controls, which restrict the annual player wage cost increases to £7 million a year for the three years up to 2018/19 – except if funded by increases in revenue from sources other than Premier League broadcasting contracts, e.g. gate receipts, commercial income and profits on player sales.

Sound familiar? That’s pretty much been Chelsea’s strategy over the last few years.

It obviously helps if you have an owner with pockets as deep as Abramovich, but that is no longer enough in a football world full of financial regulations, so Chelsea have had to follow a different path.

It might sound a little strange to say this after Chelsea just announced a £70 million loss, but there’s no doubt that there are some clever people at Stamford Bridge, who have found several ways to grow income and thus meet the demands of FFP. At the same time, they have  managed to put together a squad that is not only challenging for major honours, but is a good bet to win the Premier League for the second time in three seasons.
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Monday, January 18, 2016

Chelsea - Accidents Will Happen


After such a successful 2014/15 when they won the Premier League and Capital One Cup, very few people would have expected Chelsea to fall off the rails so spectacularly this season. However, a combination of key players losing form and manager José Mourinho struggling to find a solution, not to mention the distasteful Eva Carneiro episode, led to a string of defeats and ultimately the departure of the “Special One”.

Guus Hiddink has been installed as interim manager until the end of the season with the club hoping he can repeat the achievements of his previous stint in that role or at the very least drive the club up the table and avoid the unthinkable threat of relegation.

Although 2014/15 brought two trophies to Stamford Bridge, the news was not so good off the pitch, as the previous year’s £19 million profit was transformed into a £23 million loss – a deterioration of £42 million.


This was driven by two main factors: (a) profit on player sales fell £23 million from £65 million to a still impressive £42 million, principally due to the sale of Romelu Lukaku to Everton, Andre Schurrle to Wolfsburg, Ryan Bertrand to Southampton and Thorgan Hazard to Monchengladbach; (b) the wage bill shot up £23 million (12%) to £216 million, the highest in the Premier League, which might be considered the price of success, as it included hefty bonus payments.

Revenue fell £6 million to £314 million, largely due to a £4 million decrease in broadcasting revenue to £136 million, as the increase in Premier League distributions was more than offset by not progressing so far in the Champions League. Commercial income was slightly lower at £108 million, while match day was largely unchanged at £71 million.

Other expenses rose £7 million (10%) to £83 million, while there was a £3 million net increase in exceptional items, as this year’s figures included a £1 million loss on the disposal of investments, while last year’s accounts featured a £2 million credit for the release of a provision for compensation payments following a change in management.

The only area that improved profitability was non-cash flow expenses, as Chelsea booked a £19 million impairment charge against player values last year, while player amortisation was £3 million lower at £69 million.


Chelsea’s £23 million loss is likely to be one of the worst financial performances in England’s top flight in 2014/15. To date, nine Premier League clubs have published their accounts for last season with six reporting profits, the largest being Arsenal £25 million, Southampton £15 million and Manchester City £10 million. Manchester United and Everton have also announced losses, but much lower at around £4 million.

Although football clubs have traditionally lost money, the increasing TV deals allied with Financial Fair Play (FFP) mean that the Premier League these days is a largely profitable environment with only five clubs losing money in 2013/14.


As we have seen, once-off profits on player sales can also be very important to the bottom line, especially at Chelsea, where the 2013/14 numbers were boosted by £65 million from this activity, which was only surpassed by Tottenham’s £104 million, almost entirely due to the record sale of Gareth Bale to Real Madrid.

Chelsea’s huge profit that season was largely due to the sales of David Luiz to Paris Saint-Germain, Juan Mata to Manchester United and Kevin De Bruyne to Wolfsburg.


Of course, Chelsea are no strangers to making losses in the Abramovich era, as they have invested substantially to first build a squad capable of winning trophies and then to keep them at the top of the pile. Since the Russian acquired the club in June 2003, it has reported aggregate losses of £684 million, though there has been much improvement after the spectacular £140 million loss in 2005 with Chelsea posting profits in two of the last four years.

The first profit made under the Abramovich ownership was a small £1 million surplus in 2012, though this owed a lot to £18 million profit arising from the cancellation of preference shares previously owned by BSkyB.


On the other hand, Chelsea have consistently suffered from so-called exceptional items, which have increased costs by £127 million since 2005, due to compensation paid to dismissed managers £61 million, impairment of player registrations £28 million, the early termination of a former shirt sponsor £26 million, tax on image rights £6 million, the impairment of other fixed assets £5 million and loss on disposal of investments £1 million.

That’s an average of around £12 million year, but was particularly relevant in 2011, when £41 million of exceptionals “had a significant impact on the size of the losses”. Next year’s accounts will again be hit by Mourinho’s pay-off. Although this has been reported as various sums, most sources suggest that this will be restricted to one year’s salary, even though he signed a new four-year contract last summer, but that would still amount to £9-10 million.


However, it is profit from player sales that is having an increasing influence on Chelsea’s figures. In the seven years between 2005 and 2011, Chelsea averaged £10 million profit from selling players, but this has shot up to an average of £38 million in the four years since then.

In particular, Chelsea’s figures have benefited from £107 million from player sales in the last two seasons. Their reliance on this activity is underlined by the fact that they would have made a loss of £46 million in 2014 instead of a £19 million profit without these transfers.

Chelsea noted that six players had been sold at a profit of £21 million since the latest accounts closed, including Petr Cech to Arsenal, Filipe Luis to Atletico Madrid and Oriol Romeu to Southampton. They also received £6 million in respect of sell-on clauses for players transferred in previous years.

"This Cesc is not on fire"

This is clearly lower than the last two years, though there could still be more to come in the January transfer window, e.g. Juventus are rumoured to want to make Juan Cuadrado’s loan deal permanent.

Chelsea’s extensive use of the loan system is also noteworthy with around 30 players currently listed as being out on loan, including four at Dutch club Vitesse Arnhem, which appears to be an unofficial feeder club.

Given that very few of these players have succeeded in establishing themselves in Chelsea’s first team, it would appear that the primary purpose of this strategy is to develop players for future (profitable) sales, while effectively placing them in the shop window.

"John, I'm only dancing"

Some of the player wages will be covered by the loanees’ clubs, though it is likely that Chelsea would still have to pay a fair amount, but from a financial perspective the real gains arise after the player is sold. Clearly, not every player will bring in big money, but this approach only needs a couple of lucrative sales to be successful. The pipeline of probable upcoming sales includes the likes of Mo Salah, Victor Moses and Marko Marin.

Although some might complain that this smacks of treating players like stocks and shares, not to mention ensuring that rival clubs cannot buy this promising talent, there are (currently) no rules against it and other clubs, such as Udinese, have operated in a similar way for many years.

It remains to be seen whether more academy players make it at Chelsea, though there are high hopes for Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Nathan Aké, Dominic Solanke, Lewis Baker and Izzy Brown.


The other side of player trading is obviously player purchases, which is reflected in the profit and loss account via player amortisation. To illustrate how this works, if Chelsea paid £25 million for a new player with a five-year contract, the annual expense would only be £5 million (£25 million divided by 5 years) in player amortisation (on top of wages).

However, when that player is sold, the club reports the profit as sales proceeds less any remaining value in the accounts. In our example, if the player were to be sold 3 years later for £32 million, the cash profit would be £7 million (£32 million less £25 million), but the accounting profit would be £22 million, as the club would have already booked £15 million of amortisation (3 years at £5 million).


The accounting for player trading is fairly tedious, but it is important to grasp how it works to really understand a football club’s accounts. The fundamental point is that when a club purchases a player the costs are spread over a few years, but any profit made from selling players is immediately booked to the accounts, which helps explain why it is possible for clubs like Chelsea and Manchester City to spend so much and still meet UEFA’s FFP targets.

Chelsea’s initial wave of purchases under Abramovich saw player amortisation shoot up to £83 million in 2005, before falling away to £38 million in 2010 in line with less frenetic transfer activity. As spending kicked in again, player amortisation steadily rose to £72 million in 2014, before falling back to £69 million in 2015.


Unsurprisingly, this is still one of the highest player amortisation charges in the Premier League, only surpassed by Manchester United, whose massive outlay under Moyes and van Gaal has driven their annual expense up to £100 million, and Manchester City £70 million.

The value of Chelsea’s squad on the balance sheet fell slightly to £223 million in 2015, though this understates how much they would fetch in the transfer market, not least because homegrown players are ascribed no value in the books. Chelsea are one of the few clubs to formally acknowledge this factor in the accounts, as they have valued the playing staff at £350 million.


As a result of all this accounting smoke and mirrors, clubs often look at EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Depreciation and Amortisation) for a better idea of underlying profitability. In Chelsea’s case this metric highlights their recent improvement, as it is has been positive for the last three years, though it did fall from the £51 million peak in 2014 to £16 million in 2015.


However, to place that into context, this is way behind Manchester United £120 million, Manchester City £83 million and Arsenal £64 million. In fact, United’s amazing ability to generate cash is reflected in their projected EBITDA of £165-175 million for 2015/16 following their return to the Champions League and their new kit deal.


Despite slipping back in 2015, Chelsea have increased their revenue by 52% (£108 million) since 2009 from £206 million to £314 million. The growth is split evenly between commercial income, which has roughly doubled from £55 million to £108 million, and broadcasting income, which has increased 71% (£56 million) from £79 million to £136 million.

Match day receipts have actually fallen from £75 million to £71 million, as this is linked to the number of home games played, which were lower due to not progressing so far in the Champions League. As the club noted, “all three sources of income are dependent on the performance of the first team.”


In terms of revenue, Chelsea were overtaken by Arsenal in 2014/15, so now have the fourth highest in England, behind Manchester United £395 million, Manchester City £352 million and the aforementioned Arsenal £329 million.

This performance was defended by chairman Bruce Buck: “To record the second-highest turnover figure in the club’s history, despite the Champions League campaign ending at the earliest knockout round, demonstrates our business is robust and is testament to good work regarding our commercial activities, our growing fan base around the world and the tremendous support the team received at home and away matches in 2014/15.”


However, the lack of growth was disconcerting, especially as Arsenal grew by 10% (£31 million) last season. Even though City’s growth was only 2% (£5 million), this was obviously preferable to Chelsea’s 2% (£6 million) decline. Manchester United’s 9% (£38 million) decrease was due to their failure to qualify for Europe.

In fairness to Chelsea’s executive team, 2015/16 will again see a rise in revenue, as the club observed, “Following our Premier League championship-winning season, we expect the current year to produce record revenues once again. These will be powered by new commercial deals, including our record-breaking partnership with Yokohama, and revenues related to this season's Champions League which improve due to entering as Premier League champions and an increase in TV revenue for English clubs.”


Chelsea’s 2013/14 revenue of £324 million (based on the holding company accounts) placed them 7th highest in world football as per the Deloitte Money League, though Real Madrid continued to lead the way with £460 million, followed by Manchester United £433 million, Bayern Munich £408 million, Barcelona £405 million and Paris Saint-Germain £397 million.

The gap to the top is likely to increase in the next edition, as both Spanish giants have announced good revenue growth in 2014/15: Real Madrid up 5% to €578 million, Barcelona up 16% to €561 million. Against that, their revenue in Sterling terms will be impacted by the weakness of the Euro.

Furthermore, United are estimating revenue of £500-510 million in 2015/16 following their return to the Champions League and the record Adidas kit deal, which would make them the first English club to break through the half-billion pounds barrier.


If we compare Chelsea’s revenue to that of the other nine clubs in the Money League top ten, we can immediately see where their largest problem lies, namely commercial income, where Chelsea are substantially lower than their rivals that have traditionally been more successful in monetising their brand: Bayern Munich £131 million (£244 million minus £113 million), Real Madrid £80 million and Manchester United £76 million. The £161 million shortfall against PSG is largely due to the French club’s “friendly” agreement with the Qatar Tourist Authority.

On the plus side, Chelsea look to be fine on broadcasting and not too bad on match day income, though there is room for improvement in the latter category.


Despite the fall in broadcasting revenue, this still accounts for the largest share of Chelsea’s revenue, though this fell from 44% to 43%. Commercial was unchanged at 34%, while match day rose slightly to 23%.


Chelsea’s share of the Premier League television money rose £5 million from £94 million to £99 million in 2014/15, largely due to higher merit payments for winning the league, as opposed to finishing third the previous season. This is likely to fall this season, as Chelsea will finish in a lower place.

However, there will be a substantial increase from the mega Premier League TV deal starting in 2016/17. My estimates suggest a place in the top four would be worth an additional £50 million under the new contract. This is based on the contracted 70% increase in the domestic deal and an assumed 30% increase in the overseas deals (though this might be a bit conservative, given some of the deals announced to date).


The other main element of broadcasting revenue is European competition with Chelsea receiving €39 million for reaching the last 16 in the Champions League, compared to €43 million for getting to the semi-final the previous season. The reduction was higher in Sterling terms, due to the weakening of the Euro. Of course, Chelsea’s European revenue peaked in 2011/12 when they beat Bayern Munich in a dramatic final to win the Champions League.

Here, it is worth noting the importance of the TV (Market) pool to the Champions League distributions. First of all, there was more money available in the UK market pool in 2014/15, as this did not have to be shared with a Scottish club (as was the case in 2013/14 with Celtic). Second, the allocation also depends on how many clubs reach the group stage from a country, which explains why Juventus received such an enormous slice of the Italian market pool, as they only had to share it with one other club, while the UK pool was split between four clubs.


Finally, half of the distribution is based on how far a club progresses in the Champions League, while the other half depends on where a club finished in the previous season’s Premier League: 1st place 40%, 2nd place 30%, 3rd place 20% and 4th place 10%. As Chelsea won the title in 2014/15, compared to finishing third the year before, they will receive a higher percentage in 2015/16.

The financial significance of a top four placing is even more pronounced from the 2015/16 season with the new Champions League TV deal worth an additional 40-50% for participation bonuses and prize money and further significant growth in the market pool thanks to BT Sports paying more than Sky/ITV for live games.

If Chelsea fail to qualify for Europe’s flagship tournament (for the first time under Abramovich), their revenue would be hit to the tune of at least £40 million (including gate receipts and sponsorship clauses).


Match day income was largely unchanged at £71 million with the number of home games staged remaining at 26 (2 more in the League Cup, 2 fewer in the Champions League). This revenue stream peaked at £78 million in 2011/12, thanks to the victories in the Champions League and the FA Cup.

Admirably, Chelsea have held ticket prices at 2011/12 levels for five consecutive seasons and this year introduced a new price bracket for U20s. In fact, Bruce Buck confirmed, “This is the eighth time in 10 seasons there has been no increase in the cost of general admission tickets at Stamford Bridge.”

Chelsea’s match day revenue is £20-30 million lower than Arsenal and Manchester United, as they have much bigger grounds, which helps explain why the club has spent so much time searching nearby locations for a new stadium. However, they were outbid for the Battersea Power Station and have ruled out moves to Earls Court and White City.


Instead, Chelsea have now submitted a planning application to increase the capacity of Stamford Bridge from 41,600 to 60,000. This would be a complex build with the plan being to lower the arena into excavated ground, but the estimated £500 million cost would be funded by Abramovich.

The hope would be to start work in 2017 with Chelsea having to find a temporary home for three years. The club is in discussions with the Football Association to play at Wembley (as are Tottenham who are also planning a stadium move), though Twickenham, the headquarters of the Rugby Football Union, has also been mentioned as a possibility. This would cost around £15 million a year, though income might be higher if the crowds increased.

Chelsea have previously highlighted “the need to increase stadium revenue to remain competitive with our major rivals, this revenue being especially important under FFP rules.” More corporate hospitality in particular could deliver significant additional revenue with additional potential revenue from naming rights or other sponsorship opportunities.


Commercial revenue fell slightly by £1 million to £108 million, which was disappointing, especially as they are the only Premier League club to date to report a decrease in this revenue category in 2014/15. It was still higher than Arsenal £103 million and Liverpool £104 million (2013/14 figure), but it was a long way below Manchester United £196 million and Manchester City £173 million.


Over the last three years Chelsea’s commercial income has grown by 61% (£41 million), which would be considered pretty impressive were it not for Arsenal growing by 97% (£51 million) and Manchester United 67% (£79 million) in the same period.

However, Chelsea’s commercial revenue will increase in the next set of accounts, as the five-year shirt sponsorship deal with Yokohama tyres started this season. This is worth £40 million a year, i.e. more than double the £18 million previously paid by Samsung. This is on top of the Adidas kit supplier deal, which was extended in 2013 to 2023, which increased the annual payment from £20 million to £30 million.


Buck specifically noted that “our program of partnering with world-renowned and innovative market leaders is accelerating”, as seen by a deal with Carabao, a leading energy drink company in Thailand, to sponsor training wear from 2016/17 for a reported figure of £10 million a year.

These deals will leave Chelsea only behind Manchester United for the main shirt sponsorship and kit supplier deals and it’s difficult to compete with their massive Chevrolet and Adidas agreements.


Wages surged by £23 million (12%) from £193 million to £216 million, reflecting bonuses paid for winning the Premier League and Capital One Cup. This means that the wage bill has risen by £43 million (25%) in the last two years.

As a technical aside, note that these wage figures have been corrected for exceptional items, e.g. in 2013/14 the reported staff costs of £190.6 million included a £2.1 million credit for the release of a provision for compensation for first team management changes, so the “clean” wage bill was £192.7 million.


The accounts also include a £1.5 million payment to a director for compensation for loss of office. He is not named, but this is likely to be Ron Gourlay, who resigned in October 2014.

All this increased the wages to turnover ratio from 60% to 69% following the slight revenue decline in 2014/15, thus reversing the trend of this ratio improving every year from the recent 82% peak in 2010. Although the wages to turnover ratio tends to worsen in the second year of the Premier League TV deal, Chelsea’s is still one of the highest with only West Brom, Fulham and Sunderland reporting worse ratios (previous season’s figures).


So Chelsea once again have the highest wage bill in the top flight at £216 million, which is the first time since 2010. This is well ahead of Manchester United £203 million, Manchester City £194 million and Arsenal £192 million. There is then a big gap to the other Premier League clubs with the nearest challengers (in 2013/14) being Liverpool £144 million, Tottenham £100 million and Newcastle £78 million.

This reflects Chelsea’s stated strategy: “In order to attract the talent which will continue to win domestic and European trophies and therefore drive increases in our revenue streams, the football club continually invests in the playing staff by way of both transfers and wages.” This ambitious approach would explain why the club has not seen fit to insert relegation clauses in the players’ contracts, as the club has finished no lower than sixth in Abramovich’s time.


Both Manchester clubs saw reduction in wages in 2014/15. United’s decrease was due to their lack of success on the pitch, as bonuses fell, while City’s is partly due to a group restructure, where some staff are now paid by group companies, which then charge the club for services provided.


Although there is a natural focus on wages, other expenses also account for a considerable part of the budget at leading clubs, especially at Chelsea where these rose £7 million (10%) from £76 million to £83 million. This means that Chelsea also top this particular league table, ahead of Manchester City £76 million, Manchester United and Arsenal (both £72 million)

Other expenses exclude wages, depreciation, player amortisation and exceptional items. They cover the costs of running the stadium, staging home games, supporting commercial partnerships, travel, medical expenses, insurance, retail costs, etc.


Chelsea’s activity in the transfer market is interesting. For the four years up to 2010 Chelsea only had average gross spend of £25 million (net spend being just £2 million), but they then returned to spending big, averaging £94 million of gross spend in the last six years. In the last two seasons alone they spent £186 million bringing in new players, including Diego Costa, Cesc Fabregas, Juan Cuadrado, Pedro, Baba Rahman, Filipe Luis and Loic Remy.

However, there is a big difference in net spend. The average annual net spend between 2010 and 2014 was £67 million, but this has fallen to only £20 million for the last two years, thanks to equally big money sales, which did not exactly ease Mourinho’s frustrations.


It may be a surprise to some, but Chelsea’s total net spend of £40 million in the last two years was only mid-table. Not only were they over £100 million behind the Manchester clubs (City £151 million, United £145 million), but they were also outspent by the likes of West Ham, West Brom and Crystal Palace in this period.

Chelsea have no financial debt in the football club, as this has all been converted into equity by issuing new shares. That said, the club’s holding company, Fordstam Limited, does have over £1 billion of debt (£1,041 million as of June 2014) in the form of an interest-free loan from the owner, theoretically repayable on 18 months notice.


Not that it makes much difference, given Abramovich’s willingness to continue to fund the club, but Chelsea noted in the accounts that they had acquired eight players at an initial cost of £69 million this summer. There were also minimal contingent liabilities of £1.5 million, suggesting that Chelsea, unlike most football clubs, pay all their transfer fees upfront, which must be an advantage in negotiations compared to other clubs that have to pay in stages.

Other clubs have to carry the burden of sizeable debt, notably Manchester United who still have £411 million of borrowings even after all the Glazers’ various re-financings and Arsenal, whose £234 million debt effectively comprises the “mortgage” on the Emirates stadium.


The advantage of having a benefactor like Abramovich is demonstrated by the annual interest payments at those clubs: £35 million for United, £13 million for Arsenal. That is money that could be spent on transfers or player wages.

Although Chelsea’s cash flow from operating activities has turned positive in the last three seasons (after adjusting for non-cash flow items, such as player amortisation and depreciation, plus working capital movements), they still require funding from the owner to cover player purchases and investment in improving facilities at Stamford Bridge and the training ground at Cobham.


That amounted to £104 million in the last two years: £47 million in 2015 and £57 million in 2014. In fact, since Abramovich acquired the club, he has put around £1 billion into the club, split between £611 million of new loans and £350 million of share capital. In that period £672 million of loans have been converted into share capital.

Most of this funding has been seen on the pitch with £744 million (77%) spent on net player recruitment, while another £130 million went on infrastructure investment. A further £73 million was required to cover operating losses with £17 million on interest payments (in the early years).


Given Chelsea’s several years of heavy financial losses, many observers had believed that they would fall foul of FFP, but that has not been the case, as confirmed by Buck: “Chelsea has been consistent in our intention to comply with FFP and it was a primary aim in the past financial year to be one of the clubs with a continuous record of meeting the regulations, which we have achieved.”

The club has taken advantage of some of the allowable exclusions for UEFA’s break-even analysis, namely youth development, infrastructure and (for the initial monitoring periods) the wages for players signed before June 2010.

Even though Chelsea are compliant, it is clear that this legislation has been at the forefront of the club’s thinking, hence their focus on earning more commercially. The accounts state: “FFP provides a significant challenge. The football club needs to balance success on the field together with the financial imperatives of this new regime.” In other words, Chelsea cannot simply spend their way out of trouble.

"Save a prayer"

Looking ahead, Chelsea’s 2015/16 accounts will benefit from the Yokohama shirt sponsorship (£22 million higher) and more money from the Champions League (new TV deal, market pool benefit of entering competition as Premier League champions). However, they will be hit by the Mourinho pay-off and reduced TV money for a lower Premier League finish (e.g. merit payment difference between 1st and 12th is £14 million). Against that, bonus payments should plummet, which would reduce the wage bill.

The following season (2016/17) will again be a mixed bag. Not qualifying for Europe would mean a revenue reduction of at least £40 million, though costs would also fall, e.g. staging home games, travel, bonus, etc. There would also be the cost of rebuilding the squad in the image of the new manager, More positively, Chelsea would be boosted by the new Premier League TV deal and the training sponsorship contract.

"Willian, it was really something"

Longer term, it will be all about the stadium development at Stamford Bridge, but that is very much future music. Such developments rarely go smoothly, especially in an urban environment, as opposed to a green field site.

It’s incredible what a difference a year can make: twelve months ago everything looked rosy in Chelsea’s garden, but this season has seen one problem after another. The vast majority of other clubs would still prefer to be in their position, but the Roman empire has looked shakier than at any other period in recent times.


Nevertheless, it would be a brave man that bet against a Chelsea recovery, though a lot will depend on who arrives as permanent manager in the summer.
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